Observations from a modestly elevated perspective on economics, global politics, finance and a few other issues, delivered as quick commentaries (prefaced with"AOK") on selected items posted elsewhere by those wiser, or at least more diligent, than myself.

Friday, September 10, 2010

China is still a renegade nation and not likely to change that soon

Auerback: China is Still a Renegade Nation

By Marshall Auerback, a portfolio strategist and Roosevelt Institute fellow
A few years ago, Chris Dialynas and I wrote a piece which introduced the concept of “renegade economics”. It was derived from a Frank D. Graham’s 1943 essay titled, “Fundamentals of International Monetary Policy.” Graham, a Princeton University economist, wrote: “In international affairs we must therefore strive to reconcile the liberty of the individual, the sovereignty of states, and the welfare of the international community.” He understood that poorly crafted economic policies and rules in a global economy would lead to great imbalances that threaten stability and freedom. His analysis and insights applied to the two world wars of the last century as well as to the Great Depression.
But Graham’s insights, we noted in the article, were still relevant, notably in regard to China. Graham maintained that a poorly regulated fixed-exchange rate regime is inherently unstable. He argued that countries would cheat by setting their currency at rates that promote national agendas, ignoring the instability imposed upon the global economy. They become “renegade nations” in effect practicing “renegade economics.”
The nation which best reflects this description today is China.